Inside Veritas -
Article 1
-Steve Easley to Speak: “Mold and Mildew, a Growing Concern”
Article 2
- Business/Housing News Notes
Article 3 - Area’s Industry was Base for WSJ article
Article 4 - Taxation and Finance - Options for Business
Auto Expenses
Article 5 - When legal action’s the only alternative
Association News Update From Laura
Economic Update - Employment:
The obvious problem?
BS: Still about Nothing in
particular
Housing Industry Update
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Steve
Easley to Speak: “Mold and Mildew, a Growing Concern”
  
   Internationally recognized construction consultant and media personality,
Steve Easley, will be the featured speaker at the Association’s October
23 General Membership Meeting with the timely topic of, “Managing Moisture
to prevent Mold and Mildew.” The former Purdue University professor of Building
Construction & Contracting now specializes in solving science related building
problems, with his primary clients being contractors, utilities, government
& trade associations.
   Although his work’s been featured in Professional Builder, Fine Home Building,
Journal of Light Construction and Popular Science (along with numerous
other publications), he’s probably best known for his current co-hosting of
“Michael Holigan’s Your New House” on the Discovery Channel and features on
many other TV and radio programs such as “This Old House,” “Home Again,” and
“The House Doctor.”
   The meeting’s sponsor is James Lumber, who arranged the Steve Easley
appearance with Hansen Marketing.
   As always, the meeting’s set at Bonaparte’s, beginning with the sponsor’s
Social Hour at 6:00, along with an extensive hors d’oeuvre menu. Meeting at
7:30.
   With the quality of the speaker and the timeliness of the topic, we urge builders,
in particular, to attend. And, since we’re expecting a large turnout for the
evening, it’s more important than ever that we have a solid count by the previous
Thursday afternoon. So we urge that you RSVP by 5:00 p.m. on Oct 16th
at 810.603.2200.
   A new study by the American Farmland Trust
claims “the U.S. is losing two acres of prime farmland every minute to development,”
and the “problem is worsening.” Now, we’re willing to accept this claim under
the following condition: All government payments to farmers be based on acreage
as claimed by the Farmland Trust. That we go back to pre-Freedom to Farm Act
doles, and index annual bulk payments accordingly, taking inflation and the
alleged declines acreage into account. By such method, we could probably trim
$6 to $8 billion off the national budget.
   The real news in September’s auto sales report was the plunging market
share experienced by GM. After approaching the 30% level in August, the nation’s
#1 auto producer saw its share slip back to 25.2%.
   However, GM’s exceptionally strong sales activity of July and August depleted
its inventory of 2002 models, while competitors were offering big discounts
on a much greater inventory. So, as GM’s sales fell 13% from a year ago, Ford
sales were up 3.5%, and Chrysler’s up 18.6%, giving it a 14.9% share of the
month’s market. Chrysler’s at 14.5% for the year, just 4.1 points above Toyota’s
10.4% share.
Well, it looks like the price bubble DID burst,
and it wasn’t home prices. An article in Tuesday’s Wall Street Journal told
of plunging existing car prices, in response to the glut of used vehicles
now on the market. As new car buyers, enticed by incentives, are trading in
their existing models, they’re finding the value’s not much. It turns out
that the values of a large number of 2000 models fell 40 to 60% over two years,
and a number of new car buyers owe more on their vehicle than its book value.
So, many of those 0% interest loans are for the cost of the new car, plus
what’s owed on the old one.
   To put the prices in perspective, the value of a ‘00 Taurus SE fell from $19,440
to $8,302 over the two years; Ford Expedition, $30,440 to $15,974; and a Ford
Football Team? From 9 wins, 7 losses to WORTHLESS.
   It took six weeks to write, but last Friday’s Wall Street Journal
article on factory built housing components, focusing on Genesee County, showed
the difference in building philosophy between the large corporate builder
and the small, custom builder.
   The article’s intent was to show the proliferation of panelized components
in today’s new built homes, and the writer turned to the “Flint” area for
his story, focusing on Pulte Homes’ developments in Grand Blanc. But in reality,
it went in line with an article a couple of weeks back that stressed how large
builders were increasing their market share. Deductively, we see that a larger
share of homes are built with panelized components only because a larger share
of homes are being built by the giant corporations that use such components.
   The defining statements in the article came from Pulte’s CEO, and a local
builder. Noted Mark O’Brien, the move towards panelization comes from the
need to provide “quality” at a time there’s no longer a steady supply of trades.
“We go for quality,” O’Brien said, “we have to get it somewhere.”
   But the article also pointed out that “some builders, typically small local
concerns, are resisting.” Then, as an example, it used the following quote
from “Rodney Rajala, builder in Flint:” Said Rajala, “You take any master
craftsman to one of these panelized, dollar controlled developments and he
will show you the compromises that have been made with materials, quality
and finishes.” Added Eric Hauger, factory built walls are often thinner, with
lower quality, than what he uses on site.
   “Yet Pulte and other big builders say panelization improves their quality,”
the WSJ explained. Improves or lowers? A question which may mean more
than for what it was intended.
   An employee can substantiate car expenses by arduously keeping
an exact record of his or her expenses, such as gasoline, insurance, and other
costs. However, there are other mileage allowance calculations that may be
used by either employees or employers that are more cost effective and time
efficient.
What is a mileage allowance?
   A mileage allowance is a payment under a reimbursement or other expense allowance
arrangement that is: 1) Paid for ordinary and necessary business expenses
incurred by employees for transportation expenses in performing services as
an employee; 2) Reasonably calculated not to exceed the amount of the expenses
or anticipated expenses; and 3) Paid at the standard mileage rate, at a flat
rate or stated schedule, or in accordance with any IRS-specified rate or schedule.
Standard mileage rate
   The standard mileage rate method is a simplified method available to both
employees and self-employed persons in computing deductions for car expenses.
Under the standard mileage method, the employee determines the amount of the
allowable deduction by multiplying all the business miles driven during the
year by the standard mileage rate.
   The IRS recently announced the standard mileage rates for ‘03 when computing
the deductible costs of operating an automobile for business purposes. For
2003, the standard mileage rate for the use of a car for business purposes
is 36 cents for each business mile driven. This is down from 36.5 cents a
mile in 2002.
Fixed and variable rate (FAVR) mileage allowance
   Under the FAVR method, an employer reimburses its employees’ expenses with
a mileage allowance using a flat rate or a stated schedule that combines periodic
fixed costs (including depreciation, insurance, registration and license fees,
and personal property taxes) and variable payments (including gasoline and
all gasoline taxes, oil, tires, and routine maintenance and repairs).
   An employer may maintain more than one FAVR allowance. A FAVR allowance that
uses the same payer, standard automobile, retention period, and business use
percentage is considered one FAVR allowance, even if other features of the
allowance vary.
   The amount of A FAVR allowance must be based on data that is derived from
the base locality, reflects retail prices paid by consumers; and is reasonable
and statistically defensible in approximating the actual expenses of the employees
receiving the allowance.
Limitations
   There are limitations that apply to FAVR allowance, including:
1) An allowance may be paid only to employees who substantiate to the employer
that they have at least 5,000 business miles per year;
2) An allowance may not be paid to a control employee. For these purposes,
an employee is not a control employee merely due to compensation exceeding
$100,000;
3) A majority of employees covered by the allowance may not be paid to management
employees; and
4) At all times, at least 5 employees of an employer must be covered.
Reporting and recordkeeping
   An employee, whose car is initially covered by a FAVR allowance or is again
covered if such coverage has lapsed, must, within 30 days after such coverage
has begun, provide his employer with a written declaration. The declaration
must contain: the make model, and year of the auto; written proof of the insurance
coverage limits on the car; the odometer reading; the car’s purchase price;
and whether the employee has claimed depreciation on the car.
What does the deduction mean?
   A deduction computed using a FAVR allowance is in lieu of all operating
and fixed costs incurred by an employee in driving an automobile performance
of services as an employee, except for tolls, parking fees, and interest incurred
on the purchase of an automobile. These latter items may be deducted separately
to the extent that a deduction is otherwise allowed.
   For more information about these substantiation options, please contact your
tax advisor.
R, P & T
   During this year’s meetings it’s been evident that many of our members were enjoying the networking taking place during social hour and were reluctant to end it to sit down for dinner and the meeting. So yesterday, the directors decided to try something more accommodating, and to do it immediately! On October 23, we’re planning an extensive hors d’oeuvre menu during an extended social hour (6:00 to 7:30). Then, we’ll go right into the program (no buffet), with only announcements and the guest speaker.
Barry
Beyond Seinfeld: It’s still about "Nothing"
in particular
Detroit: Flint’s Takeover Twin Sister?
   A recent column by former Detroit News editor Thomas Bray suggests
Detroit ‘s fiscal condition is so grave, it could soon be joining Flint as
a state takeover target. Pointing out that the city has already “lost control
of several key functions (Recorders’ Court, city schools)” and faces regionalization
of its transportation and water systems,” Bray writes there’s an “unmistakable
signal: Patience with Detroit has run out.”
   Noting the incompetence of a number of city department operations, from water,
to health, to clerk, he says “Detroit is rapidly becoming a city in name only.”
And, he concludes, “without the tens of millions poured into it annually by
state taxpayers, it would quickly pass to receivership.
   Of course, the concept of take-over will bring about the question: Who would
be Detroit’s Ed Kurtz? We’d suggest William Clay Ford, Jr., Mike Illitch or,
as a dark horse, Matt Millen. Each has done so much for Detroit’s image, they’d
have to be the top candidates.
Loggers cut scholarships to treehuggers' kids
   “We are not going to use timber dollars to send the professors’ kids, teachers’
kids, physicians’ kids to school because they’re the ones helping to shut
down the industry with donations to Greenpeace. They support those people
who are killing us.”
   That was the explanation by the Clemens Foundation for excluding students
from Philomath, a small Oregon logging town, from its scholarship program
that historically paid for any student wanting to go to college. We want to
go back to the original intent of the program, said Foundation Director Steve
Lowther, and “send kids from timber, ag, mining and ranching backgrounds.”
   Turns out Philomath was invaded by “yuppies” who commute to jobs at Oregon
St. University and Hewlett Packard, who found free education an alluring attraction.
And, these “invaders” changed the community’s culture dramatically. Now the
dress code allows hair dye and body piercing, while the curriculum’s now perceived
as having an “anti-logging bias.” .... Welcome to suburbia!
  
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The Habitat House is now roofed and closed in ...look for an update at the October meeting and in upcoming Veritas’. No NAHB Dues Increase ... for now? |
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Economic Update: Employment:
The obvious problem?
   When employment data was released last week, the proverbial “good
news,” “bad news,” situation was evident. The good news: the jobless rate
fell to 5.6% from 5.7%. The bad: total employment declined by 43,000 jobs.
So, the often stated concern about “recovery without jobs” continued.
   But we couldn’t help but remember another time when the unemployment rate
slipped to 5.6%. It was November, ‘94, and the Federal Reserve was terrified
that the economy was overheating at a rate that would surely create inflation.
In response to the growth in jobs, the Fed raised short term rates from 4
to 4.5% (on the way to 6% in winter of ‘95). Conventional wisdom at the time
was that growth creating an unemployment rate below 6% was unsustainable without
leading to inflation.
   Today, though the numbers are the same (except the economy has 15 million
more jobs), the well founded concern is the possibility of a “double-dip”
recession. And, if 6% remains a target for unemployment, no one would dare
say so publicly.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
   Real GDP — the output of goods and services produced in the U.S. — rose at
an annual rate of 1.3% in the second quarter, according to the final revision
by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
   Although the Q2 figure was well off the first quarter’s 5% growth, it was
up from the department’s revised estimate of 1.1% released in August. However,
there were a number of notable factors in the late September report.
   For example, personal consumption expenditures increased at a 1.8%
rate during the quarter, a significant falloff from the 3.1% rise in Q1. Residential
fixed investment increased 2.7%, dramatically below the 14.2% first quarter
rise. There was also an evident surge in import/export activity as real
exports of goods and services surged 14.3% (up from 3.5%), while real
imports were up 22.2% (up 8.5% in the first quarter).
   Finally, the report showed little evidence of an inflation problem, as prices
were up at a 2.3% rate while the core rate (minus food/energy) was at 1.5%.
Economic Notes:
   The bureau also reported Personal Income & Disposable Personal income
were up 0.4% in August, after showing no growth in July. Personal consumption
was up .3%, $23.7 billion over July. ..... After showing signs of growth since
January, Manufacturing Activity contracted last month according to
the Institute of Supply Management’s index. It’s hardly a surprise that activity
began to decline since it showed a reading of 50.5 in August, meaning it was
barely expanding at the time ... and, throughout the 9 months, manufacturing
jobs continued to decline.
Housing Industry Update - Housing stays strong despite economy
   As fixed rate mortgages continued to fall throughout the summer, homes continued
to sell at record levels despite the problems that remained evident in the
economy as a whole. In fact, new homes actually sold at an all time record
pace in August, up 1.9% from July’s revised rate of 977,000 units.
However, since new home sales have been revised downward for each of the preceding
three months, the “record” may be somewhat presumptive.
Still, there’s little question that sales are strong enough to be leading
to the second consecutive record year.
For the same month, existing single family homes sold at a rate of 5.28 million
units, which is down from July (and most of the year), but close to the annual
record pace of ‘01. Furthermore, unlike Commerce Department data regarding
new homes, the “Realtors’” existing home sales have recently been understated
when first reported.
Existing homes have sold at roughly a 5.6 million unit clip all year, and
the realtors now forecast 5.47 million through December, a 3.2% rise from
2001. They also expect a new record of 929,000 new home sales by year’s end,
up 2.2% from ‘01’s record level.
Michigan’s building activity experienced a solid 7.8% jump in August,
compared to July, as permits were issued at a rate of 50,434 units, roughly
equal to 2001’s year end rate. A total of 4,877 units were authorized for
the month, according to Census bureau data.
However, the number of single family permits, 3,863, was the lowest number
for any August since 1998.
From a local market perspective, single family activity across the “Detroit”
area (including Ann Arbor and Flint) is up slightly in comparison to last
year. However, regional single family activity’s off 7.4% from 2000, and 11%
from the Jan thru Aug ‘99.
Genesee County’s running roughly 180 units behind last year’s single family
pace. During the first 8 months it’s built 1,258 single family units, more
than 12% below ‘01’s 1,436.